Why We’re Overconfident When Things Are Hard Why is our confidence disproportionate to the difficulty of a task? Imagine taking two quizzes. The first is easy. You’re sure you scored…
When One Good Trait Colors Everything Else Why do positive impressions produced in one area positively influence our opinions in another area? Imagine you meet someone who is confident, attractive,…
Many arguments are actually disagreements about definitions, probability, evidence, causality, or levels of certainty rather than disagreements about the underlying facts. # Distinction Explanation Example 1 Possible vs. Probable Possible…